SPACE - SpaceX

Expects significant decline due to upcoming insider lockup expirations (20% unlock in August, 28% in Q3) creating massive supply; short-term price target $50-$80 by late November.

SpaceX is down 7.8% from IPO after a rocket delay. The host warns that retail investors are overpaying and that valuation matters. He is short in the stock draft.

Expects significant decline due to unlock events and high valuation (85x sales); predicts price could fall to $100 or lower.

Overvalued at IPO, but long-term valuable due to Starlink and AI compute partnerships; wait 6 months post-lockup

Host discusses wild price targets up to $800 (over $10 trillion market cap) but acknowledges risk and lockup selling. He respects the analyst for taking a bold stance.

Mentioned as a pick after a 40-50% drawdown from IPO. Potential long-term growth.

Just went public in a record-breaking IPO valued at ~$1.8 trillion. The host describes it as highly speculative and notes IPOs typically skyrocket then tumble. He hopes it will meet his investment process in the future but provides no detailed analysis. Too new and speculative for a buy recommendation.

The creator argues SpaceX is in a massive hype bubble with a $1.75T valuation disconnected from its $18.7B revenue. The 4% float creates artificial scarcity, while 58% of shares will unlock within 6 months (14x supply increase), enabling insiders to dump on retail. Historical parallels to Cisco, RCA, and Polaroid suggest a 70-90% crash is likely.

The host believes SpaceX is one of the greatest companies ever built with massive potential, but the current valuation is too high due to IPO hype and limited float. He advises waiting for lockup expiration dates (July, September, December) when increased supply will likely push the price down to a better entry point around $115-120.

Felix mentions SpaceX's IPO as the catalyst for institutional attention on the space sector. He acknowledges it's one of the greatest businesses in the world but says it's hard to find value at a multi-trillion dollar valuation with no profits. He's not recommending it as an investment.