TMF - Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3X Shares

Presented as a riskier triple-leveraged alternative to TLT. While it could amplify gains (100%+ if TLT moves 35%), the host expresses concern about leveraged decay and prefers TLT for safety.

Brandon expects falling interest rates as the Fed cuts rates to drive bond prices higher, which should significantly boost TMF. He compares the setup to the 2019-2020 cycle when TMF went up roughly 2.5x, and believes there is substantial upside remaining.

Brandon bought call options on TMF expecting a rally as the Fed signals rate cuts, similar to the 2019-2020 cycle where TMF more than doubled. He thinks TMF could rise from $60 to $150.

Expects interest rates to fall, which should push bond prices and this leveraged bond ETF higher.

Expects interest rates to fall by about 2.5% over the next year due to declining inflation and political pressure on the Fed. Believes TMF will triple from $60 to $180 per share, citing its historical performance during the 2019-2020 rate-cut cycle. He bought $58 call options and plans to add more.

Expects the Fed to cut interest rates significantly, causing bond prices to rise; TMF is 3x leveraged, so it could triple. Has bought call options.

Expects the Fed to cut rates aggressively, following the 2019 precedent when TMF almost tripled after the first rate cut signal. He bought call options with a $58 strike expiring January 2025, anticipating a major rally in long-dated Treasury bonds.

Bought 10 call contracts (strike $58, expiring Nov 2025) for ~$7,000. Expects Fed rate cuts to boost bond prices; TMF historically tripled in rate cut cycles. Potential target $180/share.